Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

597
FXUS62 KMHX 062318
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
618 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
A Cold Weather Advisory has been issued for Saturday and
Saturday evening for Martin, Washington, Tyrrell, Mainland Hyde,
Mainland Dare and the Northern Outer Banks.

A Wind Advisory has been issued for all of the Northern Outer
Banks, Hatteras Island, Ocracoke Island, and East Carteret
Counties.

A Coastal Flood Advisory has been issued for Hatteras and
Ocracoke Islands.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dangerous cold expected Saturday and Sunday, and an Extreme
Cold Watch remains in effect for the coldest period, Saturday
night to Sunday morning when wind chills could drop from around
5 degrees to below 0 across most of ENC.

MARINE...Storm and Gale Warnings remain in effect from late
tonight through Sunday morning as very strong winds (with gusts
up to 50 kts) develop behind an Arctic cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A northern stream shortwave and attendant
intense Arctic front will cross the region overnight with very
cold temperatures advecting into the area through the day
Saturday and Saturday night. Sufficient forcing with the
shortwave to bring light rain or even a mix with snow across the
northern tier late this afternoon and evening, however the
impacts from the precipitation is expected to be minimal as sfc
temps will be initially be above freezing and strong post
frontal winds aiding in drying the roads as temps fall below
freezing late tonight. The winds and cold will be the primary
impacts as we move through the remainder of the weekend. Strong
winds will develop Saturday morning and continue through
Saturday night, leading to extremely cold wind chill values,
especially overnight.

Highs on Saturday will only reach the low to mid 30s with wind
chill values remaining in the teens. The coldest values will be
across the northern tier with wind chill values around 10-15
degrees and have issued a Cold Weather Advisory for this area
Saturday into Saturday evening. Winds chills will drop to near
to below 0 degrees Saturday night as air temps fall into the
lower teens, and an Extreme Cold Watch continues for all of ENC
for this threat. Very cold conditions continue Sunday and
Sunday night and a Cold Weather Advisory may be needed for
portions of the FA during this period. Record lows are
possible at a few locations Sunday and Monday mornings, see
CLIMATE section below for current record values.

The strong northwest winds (320-330 degree) will bring elevated
waters levels on the soundside Hatteras and Ocracoke Island,
generally on the order of 1-2 ft with only minor impacts
expected.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Predominantly VFR conditions are expected this evening, but light
showers with a few flakes mixed in may cause CIGs to briefly
drop to MVFR over the next 3-4 hours (most likely PGV and ISO).
Winds are currently SWerly at 5-15 kt and will veer to the NW
tonight as a strong Arctic front moves across the area. By early
tomorrow morning, skies will clear and winds will become
increasingly gusty, peaking tomorrow afternoon at 25-35 kt
(35-40+ kt along the Outer Banks).

Outlook: Predominantly VFR through early next week as high
pressure builds in.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas have diminished to below SCA criteria late this
morning but conditions will quickly deteriorate overnight
behind a strong Arctic cold front, with Storm conditions
expected across most of the coastal waters, and with high end
Gale conditions elsewhere.

Winds will begin to increase again this evening ahead of the
Arctic front to WSW 15-25 kts, strongest over the southern
coastal waters, and then will switch abruptly to the NW behind
the front after midnight. Winds will initially increase to NW
25-35 kts with gusts 40-45 kts early Sunday morning. Winds then
surge stronger by mid Sunday morning to NW 30-40 kts with gusts
45-50 kts through early Sunday night. Winds then begin subside
slowly overnight into Monday morning. Seas will be 6-10 ft by
Saturday morning, and then increase to 8-12 ft by Saturday
evening, before slowly subsiding into Sunday morning.

Outlook: Winds will continue to improve Sunday and Monday,
though lingering seas will keep Small Craft conditions over the
coastal waters through at least Monday morning. Light NW and
then W winds expected into Wednesday when winds increase ahead
of the next front.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record low temps for 2/8 (Sunday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern         15/1947  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras    11/1985  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville       14/1977  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City    15/1977  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston          10/1977  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville     15/1977  (NCA ASOS)

Record low temps for 2/9 (Monday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern         12/1970  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras    15/1970  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville       12/1934  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City    10/1970  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston          16/1995  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville     18/1995  (NCA ASOS)

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Cold Weather Advisory from 6 AM to 11 PM EST Saturday for
     NCZ029.
     Extreme Cold Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday
     morning for NCZ029-044-079-090>092-094-193>196-198-199-
     204-205.
     Cold Weather Advisory from 6 AM to 9 PM EST Saturday for
     NCZ045>047-081-203.
     Extreme Cold Watch from Saturday evening through Sunday
     morning for NCZ045>047-080-081-203.
     Wind Advisory from 6 AM Saturday to 5 AM EST Sunday for NCZ196-
     203>205.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday
     for NCZ204-205.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 5 AM Saturday to 7 AM EST Sunday for AMZ131-
     230-231.
     Gale Warning from midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Sunday for
     AMZ135.
     Gale Warning from 8 AM Saturday to 4 AM EST Sunday for AMZ136-
     137.
     Storm Warning from 6 AM to 10 PM EST Saturday for AMZ150.
     Storm Warning from 8 AM to 10 PM EST Saturday for AMZ152-154-
     156.
     Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Sunday for
     AMZ158.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SK
AVIATION...OJC
MARINE...SK