Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

108
FXUS62 KMHX 011747
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
147 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dangerously hot and humid conditions for this 4th of July
weekend into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...The advertised heat and humidity will build
into ENC from the north and west Friday into the weekend. High
impact heat and humidity is expected, as the peak of it will be
during the busy 4th of July holiday weekend (Saturday through
Monday) with highs expected to reach well into the 90s inland,
possibly reaching 100 in some locales, with upper 80s to mid 90s
beaches. The combination of the heat and humidity will push
heat indices towards the 105-110 degree range or slightly
higher this weekend. Overnight lows will also be warm due to the
increased TD`s, with lows around 80 near the coast, and mid 70s
interior. Heat Advisory looks marginal for Thu, so will hold off
for now.

NWS probabilistic Heat Risk values peak Saturday into Monday in
the major range with some extreme risk areas inland. The chance
for extreme heat risk remains similar Saturday through Monday
with probabilities peaking around 40-60% across northern
sections and 20-40% south with the compounding days and little
relief during the nighttime periods. Those sensitive to heat and
anyone planning on spending ample amounts of time outside this
weekend into early next week should monitor the forecast trends.

With the ridge of high pressure building in, a cap will develop
with little to no shower or thunderstorm relief through
Saturday. On Sunday, the ridge may break down just enough for
some scattered storms to develop mainly inland zones, but the
latest guidance has decreased rain chances to 25% or less.
Better precip chances expected Monday into Wed as a series of
shortwaves impact the area.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Pred VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Could see
shallow ground fog develop in some locations again late tonight
but it should have little impact to operations and dissipate
quickly after sunrise. Few-sct cumulus this afternoon with
daytime heating with light winds 5-10 kt, similar Thursday.

Outlook (Thursday night through Monday): Dry weather is
expected to prevail with pred VFR conditions, but could see
patchy fog and low stratus each morning. Winds will be light
through the period with high pres in vicinity.

&&

.MARINE...
Latest obs show SE-E winds 5-10 kt with seas 2-4 ft. Winds will
continue to veer a bit to SE to S less 5-15 kt this afternoon
into tonight as high pressure builds in and weak low pressure
dissipates off the SE coast. S-SE winds 5-15 kt Thu with seas
2-4 ft.

Outlook (Thursday through Sunday): The Bermuda high becomes
dominant mid to late week with light winds 5-15 kt and seas
around 2-4 ft.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record High temps for 7/3 (Friday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern        98/1954  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras   93/2014  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville     100/2019  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City   92/1998  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston        102/1954  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville    96/2019  (NCA ASOS)

Record High temps for 7/4 (Saturday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern        95/2023  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras   94/2020  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville      99/2002  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City   93/1997  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston        104/1902  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville    98/1993  (NCA ASOS)

Record High temps for 7/5 (Sunday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern        99/1990  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras   92/2018  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville     100/2002  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City   93/2020  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston        104/1902  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville    97/1990  (NCA ASOS)

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CQD/SK
AVIATION...CQD/SK
MARINE...CQD/SK