Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

799
FXUS62 KMHX 051202
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
702 AM EST Thu Mar 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Higher confidence in scattered showers and thunderstorms Sunday
and into early next week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dense fog threat will return along the coast tonight and
persist for the next few overnight periods.

2) Well above normal to near record conditions expected
through early next week with high pressure ridging offshore.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Areas of sea fog have returned to portions of
the NC coast, with the most widespread areas along the Crystal
Coast and south along Onslow county. Expect fog to continue to
expand inland the rest of the early morning hours, and
potentially return to areas along the Outer Banks. Visibilities
may drop enough to warrant Dense Fog Advisories.

A similar pattern will continue for the next couple of days,
and sea fog will likely persist in some fashion into Sunday
morning. Expect the most widespread areas of fog to develop at
night, especially after midnight, and fog could extend inland
from the coast at times.

KEY MESSAGE 2...An anomalously strong ridge remain in place over
the southeastern CONUS into early next week. This will bring
near record temperatures possible for some inland zones some
afternoons, especially tomorrow through this weekend (see
Climate Section below). Highs will reach the upper 70s/low 80s
generally along and west of US 17, and upper 60s/low 70s closer
to the coast. The immediate coast will remain cooler due to very
cold ocean/sound temperatures.

Latest forecast trends show a weak front moving into the
Carolinas late this weekend and into early next week, bringing
the potential for scattered showers and thunderstorms...though
it looks like well above normal temps will continue.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Biggest challenge this morning will be the timing of the ongoing
dense fog across the Crystal Coast and OBX. Latest obs across
the area and satellite imagery show widespread visibilities
around 1/2 to 1/4 mile. This has resulted in widespread LIFR to
IFR vis categories this morning across EWN/OAJ terminals as
well as across nearby locations. Will note however, the fog
layer is not very thick and should begin to burn off rapidly
within the next few hours. High clouds are noted to the north
and west across PGV/ISO and adjacent areas resulting in VFR
conditions here. Where we currently see VFR conditions, expect
these conditions to persist through the rest of today.
Elsewhere where patchy dense fog is ongoing current forecast
suggest this all dissipates by about 9-10AM this morning. Once
the area goes VFR expecting VFR conditions to continue into
this evening. Between about 15-17Z expect SW`rly winds to
increase to 5-15 kts allowing for both ceilings and vis to lift
resulting in widespread VFR conditions across all of ENC. As we
get into tonight, once again expect seafog to develop along the
coast and OBX and then spread inland bringing an elevated threat
for sub VFR vis/ceilings mainly along and east of Hwy 17 after
06Z Fri.

Outlook: A return to VFR conditions is expected on Fri, though once
again Fri night do expect a threat for patchy to widespread fog
along the coast with lower ceilings inland as the environment will
change little across ENC and remain favorable for seafog to advect
inland along the coast. May see some improving conditions from SUn
and beyond as winds become elevated limiting any fog threat but,
with increasing chances for showers lowers ceilings may prevail from
SUn on into early next week.

&&

.MARINE...
SEA FOG: Areas of sea fog have returned to portions of
the NC coast, with the most widespread areas along the Crystal
Coast and south towards Onslow Bay. Expect fog to continue to
expand the rest of the early morning hours, potentially
returning to areas along and off the Outer Banks. Visibilities
may drop enough to warrant Dense Fog Advisories.

A similar pattern will continue for the next couple of days,
and sea fog will likely persist in some fashion into Sunday
morning. Expect the most widespread areas of fog to develop at
night, especially after midnight.

WINDS/SEAS: Pleasant boating conditions are expected (outside of
fog) for the next couple of days with high pressure offshore.
Winds will be SSW/SW at 5-15 kts and seas 3-5 ft.

Outlook: Good boating conditions continue into this weekend.
Winds generally be 10-20 kts out of the S/SW as high pressure
remains offshore. The pressure gradient will tighten Sunday and
into early next week as a front move into the area, and
winds/seas will approach Small Craft criteria for portions of
the marine area.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record High temps for 03/05 (Thursday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern      84/2015  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras 74/1976  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville    86/1923  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City 76/2023  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston       87/1976  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville  83/1985  (NCA ASOS)

Record High temps for 03/06 (Friday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern      85/1961  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras 76/1992  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville    84/1961  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City 74/1992  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston       85/1976  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville  82/1961  (NCA ASOS)

Record High temps for 03/07 (Saturday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern      89/1974  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras 74/2022  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville    84/1961  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City 74/1991  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston       86/1908  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville  85/1974  (NCA ASOS)

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for NCZ195-196-
     204-205.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for AMZ135-137-
     154-156-158.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SGK
AVIATION...RCF
MARINE...SGK