Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

133
FXUS62 KMHX 061047
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
647 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes through the period.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A return to more typical summertime pattern through much of
the forecast period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...An upper ridge and Bermuda high pressure will be
centered off the coast through Saturday, then becomes suppressed
late in the weekend as shortwave energy pushes across the mid-
Atlantic with more of a zonal pattern developing next week with
a series of shortwave troughs pushing across the area. Precip
chances will be near climo each day with widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms developing each afternoon, then
dissipating with loss of heating during the evening. The severe
threat appears minimal through the period with limited shear
and forcing.

A gradual warming trend will continue through the period as well
with highs in the lower 90s inland through the weekend, then
warming in to the mid 90s next week. Temps generally in the mid
to upper 80s along the coast. The probabilities for Major Heat
Risk increase to around 60-80% Monday through Thursday of next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Fog and stratus has expanded to cover much of the inland rtes
early this morning bringing areas of LIFR with a few locations
as low as VLIFR. Conditions will gradually improve through the
morning hours with VFR conditions expected to return by late
morning.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms then expected to develop
this afternoon across inland rtes as the sea breeze pushes
inland bringing occasional sub-VFR conditions. A similar set up
with mainly clear skies and light winds will bring a chance for
fog and stratus again late Thursday night.

Of note, AMD NOT SKED was appended to the KEWN TAF due to an
ongoing communications issue that is impacting dissemination of
the observation information. However, TAFs will continue to be
issued while the issue is troubleshooted.

Outlook (Friday through Monday): Primarily VFR conditions and
light winds are forecast into early next week as high pressure
builds into the area. Given ample low level moisture there is a
low end chance for patchy ground fog to develop each morning.

&&

.MARINE...
The Bermuda high will remain off the coast into early next week
bringing predominantly S to SW winds around 5-15 kt with seas
around 2-4 ft. Somewhat stronger winds possible during the late
afternoon and evening hours Friday through the weekend as temps
warm inland bringing a tightening of gradients between the
thermal trough inland and the offshore high. Gusts may approach
SCA conditions across the Pamlico, Croatan/Roanoke Sounds and
coastal waters north of Cape Hatteras at times.

Ongoing showers and thunderstorms near the Gulf Stream are
expected to dissipate late this afternoon with quieter
conditions into Friday night. Shower and thunderstorm chances
increase Saturday into early next week as a trough of low
pressure rotates around the Bermuda High and off the NC coast.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SK
AVIATION...SK
MARINE...SK