Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

652
FXUS62 KMHX 131120
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
620 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Cancelled the Gale Warning for the outer waters south of Oregon
Inlet.

Issued a Small Craft Advisory for the Pamlico Sound into Friday
Morning.

Issued a Freeze Watch for Saturday Night.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Strong cold front to bring breezy and colder conditions this
weekend, along with a risk of widespread frost/freeze conditions.

Marine: Elevated winds and seas will continue across the waters
through the weekend as a series of cold fronts push through the
region.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...An unusually strong upper level trough will
persist over the Eastern CONUS through the weekend bringing a
much colder airmass to the region with temperatures well below
normal. The initial cold front pushed offshore last evening and
CAA will continue to ramp up overnight with temps in the low to
mid 40s inland and around 50 coast by daybreak. It will be
noticeable cooler today with highs around 60.

Another strong shortwave and attendant cold front will push
through late today and tonight bringing another surge of NW
winds. Guidance is suggest sufficient forcing and just enough
moisture remaining in the lower levels for a few showers to
develop during the evening hours, similar to last evening.
Rainfall amounts will be nominal with only a few hundredths at
best. CAA will continue Friday night with lows dropping into the
mid 30s inland to mid 40s coast. Current thinking is that there
will be enough of a breeze to limit the frost potential tonight
and will not issue a Frost Advisory at this time. Temps on
Saturday will be well below normal with highs in the mid 50s.

Probabilities are higher for frost/freeze conditions away from
the waters Saturday Sunday nights as high pressure builds in
and winds begin to diminish. Many areas are forecast to drop
into the low to mid 30s with coldest conditions expected along
and west of highway 17 and have issued a Freeze Watch for this
area for Saturday night. There is a possibility for a Frost
Advisory for several zones to the east of highway 17 but will
let future shifts evaluate as we get closer to the event.

Much below normal temps continue through early next week with
highs in the 50s to around 60 and lows in the 30s inland to 40s
coast. A gradual warming trend will occur mid to late next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR conditions expected to prevail through the period. Expect a
return to gusty conditions with the occasional gust to 20 kt
today in the wake of yesterday`s cold front. A reinforcing
front will push across terminals tonight, bringing with it
another surge of NW winds, broken to overcast mid-level cloud
decks, and a few showers which may cause localized flight
restrictions. Shower chances are low (20%), with the most likely
timing window after 03z Sat.

Outlook: Mostly VFR conditions are expected over the weekend
and into early next week with winds easing by Saturday evening.

&&

.MARINE...
The initial cold front has pushed through the waters and winds
have become W to NW around 15-25 kt and gusts to around 30 kt.
Have expired the Gale Warning for the outer coastal waters south
of Oregon Inlet as wind gusts have dropped below Gale Force.
Winds are a bit stronger than expected across the Pamlico Sound
with reports of gusts to 30 kt, so have issued a Small Craft
Advisory here for the rest of the overnight.

Winds relax some on Friday ahead of a secondary cold front that
will push through the waters Friday evening with a
reinvigorating NW surge around 15-25 kt with gusts to around 30
kt developing through Saturday. Seas around 4-6 ft in the near
shore waters and 6-8 ft for the outer waters will subside some
today but will rebuild with the renewed NW surge tonight into
Saturday.

Outlook: Winds and seas will gradually diminish Saturday night
and Sunday as high pressure builds in and expect sub-SCA
conditions through the rest of the forecast period.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Freeze Watch from late Saturday night through Sunday morning
     for NCZ029-044-045-079-080-090>092-193-198.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for AMZ152-
     154.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ156-
     158.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RM/SK
AVIATION...MS
MARINE...RM/SK