Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

030
FXUS62 KMHX 071051
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
651 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A typical summertime pattern through much of the forecast
period with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms and
hot temperatures.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
An upper ridge and Bermuda high pressure will be centered off
the coast through Saturday with mainly isolated shower and
thunderstorm chances during the afternoon, mainly along the sea
breeze. The ridge becomes suppressed late in the weekend as
shortwave energy pushes across the mid-Atlantic with more of a
zonal pattern developing next week with a series of shortwave
troughs pushing across the area. Precip chances will be near
climo each day with scattered showers and thunderstorms
developing each afternoon, then dissipating with loss of heating
during the evening. The severe threat appears minimal through
the period with limited shear.

A gradual warming trend will continue into next week as well
with highs in the lower 90s inland through the weekend, then
warming in to the mid 90s next week. Temps generally in the mid
to upper 80s along the coast. The probabilities for Major Heat
Risk increase to around 60-80% Monday through Thursday of next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AMD NOT SKED continues to be appended to the KEWN TAF due to an
ongoing FAA comms issue that is impacting dissemination of the
observation information. However, TAFs will continue to be
issued while the issue is troubleshooted. NKT is the closest
ASOS. EWN is able to be dialed into to receive METARs.

Areas of fog and stratus across western rtes this morning,
generally west of US-17, will lift and dissipate by mid
morning. A bit less thunderstorm coverage this afternoon with
upper ridging off the coast and limited forcing, with mainly
isolated storms along the sea breeze and some guidance keeps
conditions dry today. Given limited coverage, have not included
convection in the TAFs at this time. Fog and stratus will be
possible once again late Friday night across the coastal plain
with HREF guidance indicating a 30-50 percent chance of
development.

Outlook (Saturday through Monday): Primarily VFR conditions and
light winds are forecast into early next week as high pressure
builds into the area. Given ample low level moisture there is a
low end chance for patchy ground fog to develop each morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Bermuda high will persist off the coast into next week bringing S
to SW winds around 5-15 kt during the morning hours, increasing
to around 10-20 kt during the afternoon and evening as temps
warm inland, bringing a tightening of gradients between the
thermal trough inland and the offshore high. Gusts may approach
SCA conditions across the Pamlico, Croatan/Roanoke Sounds and
coastal waters north of Cape Hatteras at times. Seas will
continue around 2-4 ft.

Minimal shower and thunderstorm chances into Saturday, then
chances increase Saturday night early next week as a trough of
low pressure rotates around the Bermuda High and a series of
shortwaves push across the waters.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SK
AVIATION...SK
MARINE...SK