Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

739
FXUS62 KMHX 302251
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
651 PM EDT Sun Aug 30 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Isolated to scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorms
will dissipate quickly after sunset.

2) High pressure builds in through mid week bringing hot and
humid conditions across the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Light and variable flow across ENC this
afternoon as the stalled front has for the most part dissipated.
Convection beginning to wane with loss of heating. PW values
remain high, around 2.2" per 12z KMHX sounding, and given slow
storm motions, isolated areas may pick up an inch or more of
rainfall, but most areas will see much less with a majority of
the FA receiving no rain.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Ridging builds aloft early this week and peaks
over the area Wednesday and Thursday with H85 temps around
21-22C leading to temps well in the 90s most areas away from the
immediate coast. Heat headlines may be needed Wednesday,
Thursday, and possibly lingering into Friday with forecast heat
indices climbing above 105 each day, especially inland areas and
along the coast south of US70. Some locations may approach
record high temperature values mid week and have included the
current record values in the CLIMATE section below.

Subsidence aloft will limit thunderstorm activity for much of
the weak with only isolated afternoon convection along the sea
breeze at best, but most areas are expected to remain dry
through Thursday. The ridge begins to retreat westward late in
the week which NW flow developing aloft bringing the potential
for MCV`s diving from the Mid-West across the area, possibly as
early as Thursday night but more likely late Friday into the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
# --- AMD NOT SKED has been appended to EWN TAFs as the site is
not transmitting through normal channels. The site is still
reporting via telephone so it will be monitored, but not as
frequently as when it is completely operational. The next
closest ASOS is at Cherry Point (KNKT). --- #

Mostly VFR conditions across ENC early this evening with
convection gradually waning. Iso showers could impact terminals
through sunset, then dissipating quickly. Airmass changes
little tonight with fewer high clouds leading to decent
radiational cooling conditions and could see fog and low stratus
develop once again. Guidance is mixed on the extent of fog but
HREF probs for sub- VFR conditions are highest across western
terminals at around 40-60%. All terminals could see period of
IFR/LIFR conditions. Pred VFR conditions expected Monday after
any fog burns off with only isolated chance of a storm along the
sea breeze.

Outlook: High pressure builds in from the west next week resulting
in more benign flying conditions. Iso shower or storm cannot be
ruled out along area sea and sound breezes.

&&

.MARINE...
The front across the waters has dissipated and seeing light
easterly flow across the waters this afternoon with seas around
2 ft. Expect benign boating conditions to start the work week
with variable winds less than 10 kt and seas around 2 ft.

Outlook: High pressure builds in from the west early this week
allowing for benign marine conditions to continue and lower
chances for precip. Although SCA conditions are not expected,
with building heat inland thermal gradient winds out of the SW
will return starting mid-week each afternoon and evening at
10-15 kt with a few gusts up to 20 kt possible.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record High Temperatures for 09/02 (Wednesday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern         96/2014  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras    91/2018  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville      101/1932| (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City    91/1998  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston          98/1993  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville     95/1998  (NCA ASOS)

Record High Temperatures for 09/03 (Thursday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern         95/2020  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras    91/2018  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville      101/1921| (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City    93/1959  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston          98/1980  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville     96/2020  (NCA ASOS)

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SK
AVIATION...CQD/SK
MARINE...SK