Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

318
FXUS62 KMHX 112251
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
551 PM EST Sun Jan 11 2026

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will continue push offshore tonight. High pressure
will build in tonight through mid week. A low pressure system
will then move through the Mid-Atlantic region mid to late
week. Another system will impact the area late next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
As of 6 PM Sun...

Key Messages...

- Breezy along the coast this evening with gusts 35 to 45 mph.

- Cold air advection behind today`s frontal passage will bring
  low temperatures in the upper-20s inland overnight

A strong cold front will continue to push offshore this
evening, with a strong upper level shortwave moving through the
Carolinas as well. NW winds will peak this evening behind the
front with gusts 15-25 mph inland and 35-45 along the coast.
Winds will gradually weaken through the overnight hours tonight
as high pressure begins to build into the area. Much colder
overnight with lows falling into the upper 20s inland to mid 30s
to 40 deg along the Outer Banks.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
As of 145 PM Sun...High pressure will continue to build in from
the WSW as flow becomes more zonal aloft. Low level thickness
values and sunny skies support below normal temps with highs
45-50 deg.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 145 PM Sun...

Key Messages

- Return to cooler temperatures early this coming week with dry
  conditions

- Low pressure system mid to late this coming week will bring
  the next chance of rain, with some potential (10-30%) for a
  wintry mix or light snow as it moves offshore Thursday night

- Another system will impact the region late next weekend

Early this week...High pressure will bring cooler temperatures
and drier conditions. High temps warming into the upper-50s
Tuesday/Wednesday, with overnight lows in the 30s and 40s.

Mid week into next weekend...The next front is forecast to push
offshore, with the potential for multiple weak lows/waves of
low pressure to travel along this front mid-week, which may
bring the next chances of rain to ENC. There is a building
signal that a stronger low pressure system will then move across
the region Thursday bringing additional chances for
precipitation. Guidance continues to struggle with the strength,
timing, and location of the system, but there is potential
(10-30%) for a changeover to a wintry mix or snow as the system
pulls away from the coast Thursday night, but it is still too
early for any discussion on impacts or accumulation potential.
High pressure will briefly build over the area late week and the
first part of next weekend. Another system is expected to
impact the area late next weekend. Temps will remain slightly
below climo.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 6 PM Sunday...

Key Messages

 - Very gusty NW winds rest of SUN, crosswind concerns for SW-NE
   RWY

VFR flight cats expected through the TAF period with gusty winds
being only concern. NWerly winds 15-20G25-30kt forecast through
this evening. This will lead to crosswind issues for RWY5/23 at
ISO and OAJ, RWY4/22 at EWN, and somewhat at RWY8/26 at PGV.
Winds will decrease to 5-10 knots overnight. SKC in place
through MON with significantly lighter NWerly winds becoming
SWerly by sunset.

Outlook: Pred VFR flight cats expected through much of the
longterm with high pressure in control. Winds become light
overnight MON but airmass should be too dry for any fog
development. While there is still a lot of uncertainty, a low
pressure system Thursday could bring precip, lower ceilings, and
gusty winds with it.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 145 PM Sun...

Key Messages...

- Gale force winds will develop late this afternoon and evening
  as NW winds surge behind a secondary cold front

- SCA conditions possible Wednesday and Thursday, with gale
  force winds possible Thursday night

Latest obs show N-W winds 15-25 kt and seas 4-7 ft. The cold
front will continue to push through the waters early this
afternoon and offshore. NW winds will surge to 20-30 kt gusting
25-40 kt behind a secondary cold front, peaking this evening
then slowly diminishing late. Gale Warnings continue for the
coastal waters and Pamlico Sound, with SCAs for the rivers and
northern sounds. NNW winds 15-20 kt early Mon morning
diminishing to 10 kt or less by early afternoon. Seas 3-6 ft
early Mon subsiding to 2-4 ft.

Outlook: Marine conditions gradually improve early week as high
pressure builds over the region, with sub-SCA conditions
expected to return Monday and last until mid week when another
low pressure system will bring increased winds and seas. SCA
conditions likely to develop Wednesday and Thursday with the
potential for gale force winds Thursday night.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM EST Monday for AMZ131-230-231.
     Gale Warning until 1 AM EST Monday for AMZ135-150-152-154-156-
     158.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Monday for AMZ136-137.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...CQD/SGK
SHORT TERM...CQD
LONG TERM...CQD/ZC
AVIATION...SGK/CEB
MARINE...CQD