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Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Greenville NC
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Greenville NC
Issued by: National Weather Service Morehead City, NC |
| Updated: 11:09 am EDT Mar 9, 2026 |
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This Afternoon
 Mostly Sunny
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Tonight
 Mostly Clear
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Tuesday
 Patchy Fog then Slight Chance Rain
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Tuesday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Wednesday
 Mostly Sunny
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Wednesday Night
 Mostly Cloudy
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Thursday
 Rain and Breezy
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Thursday Night
 Chance Rain
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Friday
 Sunny
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| Hi 78 °F |
Lo 56 °F |
Hi 82 °F |
Lo 61 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
Lo 66 °F |
Hi 69 °F |
Lo 38 °F |
Hi 64 °F |
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This Afternoon
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Southwest wind around 6 mph. |
Tonight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Calm wind. |
Tuesday
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A slight chance of rain after 2pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming southwest around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Tuesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 61. Calm wind. |
Wednesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Light south wind becoming southwest 8 to 13 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. |
Thursday
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Rain. High near 69. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Thursday Night
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A chance of rain before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Friday
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Sunny, with a high near 64. |
Friday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 48. |
Saturday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 69. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 49. |
Sunday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Greenville NC.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
201
FXUS62 KMHX 091018
AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
618 AM EDT Mon Mar 9 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Marine Dense Fog Advisories issued for the northern and central
waters, Pamlico Sound and the Croatan/Roanoke Sounds.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Well above normal to near record conditions
expected mid week with high pressure ridging offshore.
2) Strong cold front moves through the region Thursday.
Aviation...LIFR conditions possible tonight into Monday morning
(50-70% chance).
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Some weak upper troughs will traverse the
Mid-Atlantic today and tonight promoting diurnal showers across
ENC, though any precip that falls today will be light at best.
However, the general trend is for an anomalously strong ridge to
overspread the Southeastern CONUS later tonight into Tuesday
with this ridge not moving through Wednesday. NAEFS standardized
anomalies continue to suggest this ridging is about 2-3
standard deviations above normal for the time of year across the
area. As a result this will continue to bring well above avg
temperatures to Eastern North Carolina with near record to
record high temperatures possible on Tue/Wed out ahead of an
even stronger cold front (See CLIMATE Section below). Biggest
threat for breaking records will be across inland locations as
relatively cool water temps should moderate high temps in the
60s and 70s near the coast.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Really not much change in forecast thinking for
Thursdays front. Across the upper levels, a cut off low near
the Baja Peninsula will steadily trek E`wards across Texas and
the Gulf States this week eventually getting absorbed within an
incoming positively to neutrally tilted upper level trough
which will be moving across the Northern Plains and Ohio River
Valley. This trough then tracks across the Northeast and Mid-
Atlantic on Thursday potentially gaining a negative tilt. At the
surface, a deepening low pressure system will be tracking
NE`wards across the Great Lakes and Interior Northeast while its
associated strong cold front sweeps E`wards across the
Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. Ahead of this front, strong
southwesterly winds will help bring up moisture, with PWATs
modeled to be in the 1.25-1.5" range. The speed and how quickly
the upper level low gets absorbed by the incoming trough will
have an impact on how strong the aforementioned surface low
will get and how quickly the incoming cold front moves across
the region. Latest guidance has the GFS and its ensembles the
most progressive with this system, moving the front through the
area Thurs morning with the ECMWF and Canadian guidance slightly
slower progressing the front across the region closer to Thurs
afternoon. With this in mind, there is some discrepancy with how
much instability there is available across ENC, but general
thinking is CAPEs will remain quite low, and thus a threat for
thunder is less than 20% for most areas, with 20% or higher
thunder risks relegated to areas east of Hwy 17 and south of
Oregon Inlet and in vicinity of the warmer Gulf waters. Given
the impressive dynamics of this system, elected to not use NBM
winds for Thursday as they appear to be much too low. Current
forecast has wind gusts 30-35 mph. Behind the front cool, dry
air moves in for Thursday night/Friday.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Mix of VFR, MVFR and LIFR across the terminals early this
morning, in combo of fog and low stratus. Guidance shows a
strong signal for IFR conditions continuing through mid morning.
Best chances for areas of denser fog will be across the
SW...along with sea fog along the coast. LIFR PROBABILITY
(through this morning): 50-70% for all terminals. Low CIGs/VIS
should improve during the day today, with VFR conditions
expected by this afternoon. Areas of fog may re- develop again
overnight into Tue morning.
Outlook...A front will likely stall near the region continuing
to bring chances for sub-VFR conditions to ENC through Tue
(mainly periods of fog and stratus) before widespread VFR
conditions officially return on Wed. Sub-VFR may return Thursday
with scattered to numerous showers.
&&
.MARINE...
Ongoing rain and isolated thunderstorm activity continue to
impact our marine waters this morning but should come to an end
soon. Overall much of this activity is very weak, but locally
elevated winds and seas are possible within any thunderstorms.
Otherwise, winds and seas continue to ease across our waters
with S`rly winds fallen to about 5-10 kts with gusts up to 15
kts and 3-5 ft seas across the coastal waters currently noted.
As a result, the ongoing Small Craft Advisories have ended and
expect benign boating conditions to persist across our waters
today as winds remain light (generally at 5-10 kts coming from
the S-SW) and seas along our coastal waters lower further to 2-4
ft with 1 ft seas noted inland and along the immediate coast
through tonight.
Sea fog has re-developed across the northern and central waters
this morning and will likely continue through at least this
afternoon, possibly into tonight and Tuesday. Marine DFA has
been issued. Will continue to watch the southern waters for
reduced vsbys. Fog may become denser closer to sunrise with
winds laying down.
Outlook (Tuesday through Friday): Benign boating conditions
forecast through Wed with widespread 5-10 kt winds and 2-4 ft
seas forecast. However, a stronger front will likely cross the
waters Thursday. SW winds will strengthen ahead of the front Wed
night with SCA conditions likely (Gales over the warmer Gulf
Stream). Winds turn NW and then NE and remain gusty Thursday
afternoon into Thursday evening behind the front. Winds and
seas diminish rapidly Thursday night and Friday as dry high
pressure ridge builds overhead. Benign boating conditions then
persist into the weekend.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Record High temps for 3/10 (Tuesday)
LOCATION TEMP/YEAR
New Bern 86/1974 (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras 74/2000 (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville 84/2000 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City 86/1974 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston 85/2009 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville 84/1974 (NCA ASOS)
Record High temps for 3/11 (Wednesday)
LOCATION TEMP/YEAR
New Bern 86/2015 (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras 73/1982 (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville 83/2016 (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City 83/1974 (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston 84/2000,2015 (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville 86/2015 (NCA ASOS)
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ135-150-
152-154-231.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...RCF
AVIATION...CQD
MARINE...RCF
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