Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

576
FXUS62 KMHX 051200
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
700 AM EST Thu Feb 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Winter Weather Advisory remains in place and has been extended
through 1 pm, for any lingering issues with temps hovering
around freezing.

Gale Warnings expanded to most of the coastal waters.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect this morning.
Light wintry mix and/or freezing rain will lead to areas of
hazardous road conditions. The threat may linger into early this
afternoon as temperatures hover right around freezing.

2) Black ice and snow/ice refreeze remains a threat to travel,
though lesser impacts are expected with extensive melting
yesterday.

MARINE...Gale Warnings are up for most of the coastal waters for
later today. Another period of stronger Gales expected Saturday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
As cold air continues to move in behind a cold front,
temperatures have dipped below freezing across the northern tier
of NC, with temps very close to the freezing mark for the rest
of the forecast area. There have been some reports of a wintry
mix, but expect the main threat to be freezing rain for the next
few hours as light rain continues to fall across ENC. Ice
accumulations will be light, generally less than a tenth of an
inch, but this will likely be enough to bring some impacts to
area roadways and especially bridges. Forecast guidance has
trended colder this morning, and also shows a slower increase in
temperatures later this morning. This means temperatures will
hover around or just below freezing through most of this
morning, as light showers of freezing rain and/or a wintry mix
move across the area with low pressure passing by offshore a
little closer. Due to this lingering threat, have extended the
Winter Weather Advisory until 1 pm, when temperatures should
safely rise above freezing.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Though we`ve seen extensive melting of the snow
pack yesterday from a combination of rain and warm temperatures,
there remains a threat to black ice and snow/ice refreezing the
next few days as temperatures drop well below freezing at night.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Widespread MVFR conditions noted across ENC early this morning.
Wintry precip for inland terminals (PGV, ISO) likely occuring at
this moment. Rain closer to the coast slowly transitioning to a
wintry precip as temps fall to <= 32 over the next 1-2 hours.
Icing amounts are expected to be at or less than 0.10" through
the event. FZRA chances quickly end from NW to SE through the
morning today. Ceilings continue to lift through today as high
builds in from the north, with all sites becoming VFR by late
afternoon into the evening. There is a scenario where a cold air
damming like setup lingers over ENC through the day, keeping us
at MVFR levels through the evening. This seems unlikely, with
only the GLAMP suggesting it, as the vast majority of guidance
has sped up the clearing to VFR.

Outlook: Predominantly Saturday morning a cold front moves
through bringing gusty winds and potentially a drop to MVFR
ceilings ahead of it. High pressure builds in later Saturday
bringing back VFR conditions.

&&

.MARINE...
Behind a cold front winds have increased to N 15-25 kts with
gusts to 30 kts early this morning. Winds will continue to
increase the rest of the morning to 20-30 kts with gusts 35-40
kts expected over most of the coastal waters. Gale Warnings have
been extended to cover the coastal waters south of Oregon Inlet.
Conditions will begin to improve by early tomorrow morning, and
winds will subside quickly to NW 10-20 kts after sunrise. Seas
are mostly 3-5 ft early this morning but will increase later
today to 6-10 ft, and remain at this level through most of the
night. Waves subside to 4-6 ft by late tomorrow morning.

Outlook: After a brief window of improving conditions, strong
winds will again develop over the coastal waters Friday night as
a strong Arctic front moves through the region. Strong Gale
conditions are expected, and will persist into Sunday morning.

&&

.CLIMATE...

Record low temps for 2/8 (Sunday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern         15/1947  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras    11/1985  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville       14/1977  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City    15/1977  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston          10/1977  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville     15/1977  (NCA ASOS)

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     NCZ029-044>046-079>081-090>092-094-193>195-198-199.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EST Friday for AMZ131-137-230-
     231.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM EST Friday for AMZ150.
     Gale Warning from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Friday for
     AMZ152-154-156-158.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SGK
AVIATION...RJ
MARINE...SGK