Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

104
FXUS62 KMHX 080450
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1150 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Toned down the forecast with winds significantly under-
performing; this increased windchill temps through the entire
near term which has led to a rearrangement of ColdWx Advisories
vs Extreme Cold Warnings.

Cold Weather Advisories that were in effect through the daytime
have been dropped.

Cold Weather Advisories have replaced Extreme Cold Warnings that
were dropped.

All Storm Warnings for Marine Zones have been downgraded to Gale
Warnings.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dangerous cold will move in tonight into tomorrow morning.
Extreme Cold Warnings have been issued for NEern portions of ENC
for tonight when wind chills will drop to -5 to 5 degrees. Cold
Weather Advisories are also up for tonight for remaining NC
zones where wind chill values will get to 6-10 degrees after
sunset.

MARINE...Gale Warnings remain in effect from late tonight
through Sunday morning as strong winds (with strongest gusts up
to 45 kts) develop behind an Arctic cold front. Freezing Spray
Advisories remain in effect for the Albemarle Sound and adjacent
waters, and coastal waters north of Oregon Inlet due to the
strong winds, cold SSTs, and significantly cold air temps.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A period of extreme cold will begin come sunset
tonight as an Arctic airmass settles over the Carolinas.
Strong CAA will continue overnight with winds gusting to 40-50
mph along the Outer Banks, and 30-40 mph elsewhere. These winds
will quickly bring in sub- freezing temperatures, and many
places, especially across northern NC, will see steady, and
maybe even falling temps, as early as this afternoon.

Temperatures will fall sharply this evening after sunset. Wind
chill values will approach 0 across NE NC, and 5-10 degrees for
the rest of Eastern NC overnight. Extreme Cold Warnings remain
in effect for far NEern zones, with ColdWx Advisories for all
remaining zones. Low temps will reach the mid teens, which will
be close to record lows..see CLIMATE section below for more
details.

More of the same expected Sunday, though with less wind. MaxTs
ranging from the low 30s across NE NC to the upper 30s SW of US
70. Cold Weather Advisory criteria will (Temp or Wind Chill AoB
14deg) be met through mid-morning before starting to warm from
SW to NE. NOBX may be well within criteria the entire day SUN.

The strong northwest winds will bring elevated waters levels on
the soundside Hatteras and Ocracoke Island, generally on the
order of 1-2 ft with only minor impacts expected.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions will prevail through the period. NW winds will
gradually diminish late tonight/early tomorrow morning. Skies
will be clear until tomorrow afternoon when scattered clouds
around 4-7 kft will build in from the west. Winds will remain
out of the NW at around 5-10 knots tomorrow afternoon,
continuing to decrease tomorrow evening. Around 00Z Monday
mid/low clouds leave the region, bringing clear skies back.

Outlook: Predominantly VFR through early next week as high
pressure builds in. A series of weather systems will move across
the area mid to late week that may bring periods of sub-VFR
conditions.

&&

.MARINE...
Strong winds expected behind an Arctic front which passed
through area waters earlier this morning. Gale warnings are in
effect for all area waters.

Winds will continue to increase to NW 25-35 kts with gusts
40-45 kts, peaking tonight, then beginning to subside slowly
overnight into tomorrow morning. Winds are forecast to drop
below Gale Force completely by tomorrow afternoon. Buoy data
shows seas currently 7-11 ft @6-9sec, continuing to increase to
8-12 ft by this evening and then slowly laying down through SUN.

Freezing spray will develop over the colder sounds and coastal
waters north of Cape Hatteras tonight due to the combination of
strong winds and cold air and sea surface temperatures.
Freezing spray will be most hazardous to vessels across the
Albemarle Sound (and adjacent waters including the Alligator
River, Croatan/Roanoke Sounds) and the coastal waters north of
Oregon Inlet due to water temps into the mid to upper 30s, and
here a Freezing Spray Advisory has been issued.

Outlook: Winds will continue to improve Monday, though
lingering seas will keep Small Craft conditions over the coastal
waters through the afternoon. Light NW and then W winds
expected through Wednesday night when winds increase out of the
NW behind the next cold front.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record low temps for 2/8 (Sunday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern         15/1947  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras    11/1985  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville       14/1977  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City    15/1977  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston          10/1977  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville     15/1977  (NCA ASOS)

Record low temps for 2/9 (Monday)

LOCATION       TEMP/YEAR
New Bern         12/1970  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras    15/1970  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville       12/1934  (COOP - Not KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City    10/1970  (COOP - Not KMRH ASOS)
Kinston          16/1995  (COOP - Not KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville     18/1995  (NCA ASOS)

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST Sunday for NCZ029-044-
     079-080-090>092-094-193>196-198-199.
     Extreme Cold Warning until noon EST Sunday for NCZ045>047-081-
     203.
     Wind Advisory until 4 AM EST Sunday for NCZ196-203>205.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM EST Sunday for NCZ204-205.
     Extreme Cold Warning until 10 AM EST Sunday for NCZ204-205.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 11 AM EST Sunday for AMZ131-230-231.
     Freezing Spray Advisory until noon EST Sunday for AMZ131-150-
     230-231.
     Gale Warning until 1 PM EST Sunday for AMZ135-150-152-154-156.
     Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Sunday for AMZ136-137.
     Gale Warning until 4 AM EST Sunday for AMZ158.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...SGK/CEB
AVIATION...RJ
MARINE...SGK/CEB