Greenville, North Carolina 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

287
FXUS62 KMHX 140039
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
839 PM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Small craft advisory for the northern coastal waters has ended.
The threat for heavy rain has diminished across the area.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Brief reprieve from the dangerous heat this week, then hot
and humid conditions return by the end of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 2...Low pressure developing off the coast of NC is
expected to keep a "cooler" northeasterly flow going across ENC
through Tuesday. A warming trend ensues on Wednesday with highs
climbing back into the low to mid 90s with heat indices in the
mid 90s to around 100 degree. Guidance continue to show a strong
signal for above normal temperatures Thursday through the
weekend with temps well into the 90s and heat indices around
100-110 degrees bringing an increased heat risk once again.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Scattered showers will continue to have the potential to impact
Eastern NC TAF sites this evening into the overnight, bringing
periods of MVFR conditions in stratus and locally heavy
rainfall. Thunderstorm threat has diminished this evening, with
highest potential for any storms to occur near the coast. Given
abundant low level moisture expect sub-VFR stratus to develop
across much of the region overnight bringing MVFR to
occasionally IFR conditions across TAF sites. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorm threat redevelops Tuesday
with highest probabilities across southern portions, EWN to OAJ.

Outlook (Tuesday night through Friday): Mainly clear skies and
light winds will allow for good radiational cooling Tuesday
night bringing a threat for fog and stratus. A more predominant
period of VFR conditions should return by the mid week.

&&

.MARINE...
Low pressure off the coast will slowly translate eastward along
a stalled front just south of the waters and dissipate into
Tuesday. Easterly winds remain around 10-20 kt across the central
waters where the pressure gradient is tightest, with seas
ranging 4-7 ft across the central and northern waters and 2-4
ft across the southern waters. Conditions will gradually improve
overnight as the low begins to pull away from the area. The
Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the central coastal
waters, Oregon Inlet to Ocracoke Inlet, through late tonight.

Outlook (Tuesday through Friday): Low pressure will slowly
weaken and move east away from the coast on Tuesday with high
pressure building in mid to late week bringing improved boating
conditions. Building southwesterly flow is expected by the end
of the week.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ196-
     203>205.
     Beach Hazards Statement from 6 AM EDT Tuesday through Tuesday
     evening for NCZ196-203>205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ152-154.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RM/SK
AVIATION...DAG/RM/SK
MARINE...DAG/RM/SK